Outright markets

After two matchdays, France lead the outright market at 5.00 following a dominant group stage campaign - 6 points and a 6-1 goal difference with Mbappé in electric form. Argentina (5.50) are equally flawless with 6 points and zero goals conceded, defending champions looking every bit as sharp as 2022. Spain (6.50) carry the deepest squad but a 0-0 draw with Cabo Verde on MD1 raised tempo concerns. Germany (8.00) are the tournament's biggest movers, shortening from 13.00 after a stunning 7-1 MD1 demolition.

England (8.50) have been solid if unspectacular - 4 points but a 0-0 against Ghana hints at familiar knockout vulnerability. Brazil (7.50) are unbeaten under Ancelotti with Vinícius Jr. finding his tournament touch. The story of the group stage is Norway (21.00): Erling Haaland has 4 goals in 2 games and they've matched France on 6 points in Group I - their MD3 clash will likely decide who tops the group. Colombia (26.00) are the dark horse after beating Portugal to top Group K with maximum points.

Erling Haaland has stormed to the front of the Golden Boot market with 4 goals in Norway's first 2 group games. His brace against Iraq and brace against Senegal have shortened him from 15.00 pre-tournament to 4.50 - the most dramatic odds shift in this market. Norway's MD3 clash with France will determine if Haaland gets the knockout-stage platform needed for 6+ goals. The 48-team format adds an extra match, with the record likely to require 7+ goals.

Mbappé (6.00) sits on 3 goals after France's comprehensive group wins and remains the market's form pick given France's projected deep run. Jamal Musiala (8.00) benefits from Germany's extraordinary 9-goal output in 2 games - his role as a false-9/attacking midfielder puts him in prime position. Harry Kane (10.00) remains live with England expected to progress to later stages, though his 2-goal return so far has been steady rather than spectacular.

Emi Martínez leads the Golden Glove market at 6.00 after Argentina kept two clean sheets in their opening group matches. The defending champions' defensive record (0 goals conceded, 5 scored) mirrors their 2022 template - disciplined structure with match-winning moments. Martínez's penalty shootout heroics in 2022 and Copa América 2024 mean the award often gravitates toward keepers who define knockout moments.

Mike Maignan (7.00) anchors a France defence that has conceded just 1 goal in 2 dominant wins. With France projected to reach the semi-finals at minimum, Maignan gets maximum exposure. Unai Simón (8.00) kept a clean sheet against Cabo Verde and Spain's possession-based system naturally limits opposition shots. Matt Turner (15.00) is the dark horse - USA's home-crowd energy has translated into solid defensive displays, though their knockout credentials remain unproven.