Morocco to reach the Quarter Final at 4.20
Same spine as 2022, easier projected bracket and 5 first-team players in Champions League knockouts this season.

Dark horse
Morocco
Why we like it
- Group E projected finish: 2nd, sending them into the more open half of the bracket.
- Hakimi, Ounahi, Amrabat, En-Nesyri and Diaz all in elite-club form.
Statistical Evidence
- Walid Regragui's mid-block conceded the second-fewesta xGA per 90 in qualifying.
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Alternative angles
Safer entry point to the same thesis.
Higher payoff if they finish above France.
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