What is Edge?
The percentage advantage your true probability has over the bookmaker's implied probability.
Definition
Edge = (your true probability / implied probability) - 1. A 55% true win probability against a 50% market implied (decimal 2.0) = 10% edge. Across thousands of bets, edge × bankroll × bet frequency = your expected profit. Most successful bettors operate on a 2-5% average edge — small but real. Edges over 8% in mainstream markets are vanishingly rare and usually indicate either a temporary market mispricing or your model being wrong.
Example
Pinnacle prices Bayern -0.5 AH at 1.85 (54% implied). Your model says 60%. Edge = 0.60 / 0.54 - 1 = +11%. Substantial; verify the model isn't overconfident.
Related terms
More from this category: Strategies & Edge
FAQ
What does "Edge" mean in sports betting?
The percentage advantage your true probability has over the bookmaker's implied probability.
How is "Edge" used at the FIFA World Cup 2026?
Edge applies to every World Cup 2026 match in the same way as any other regulated sports event. Fan Bet Odds tracks the relevant prices and lines across Bet365, Pinnacle, DraftKings, BetMGM and other licensed bookmakers — see the match prediction and odds pages for live application.
Where can I see "Edge" in action on Fan Bet Odds?
Edge appears throughout our match prediction pages (/odds/predictions/match/[slug]), market deep-dives (/odds/predictions/match/[slug]/[market]) and bookmaker reviews (/bet/bookmakers/[slug]). Use the related terms below to navigate the broader glossary.
World Cup 2026 - Daily Odds & Tips
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